Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Villarreal B
20.7%
Draw
58.0%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Villarreal B
vs
2.07
Santander
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-2
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).