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14 Feb 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.4%
Palermo
22.5%
Draw
11.1%
Virtus Entella

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Palermo

vs
0.67

Virtus Entella

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.8%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).