Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.0%
Lens
6.3%
Draw
1.7%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
3.19
Lens
vs
0.28
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS23.4%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
16.8%
2-0
15.8%
4-0
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
5-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
0-0
2.9%
1-1
2.6%
5-1
2.4%
0-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).