Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Metz
29.1%
Draw
28.2%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Metz
vs
0.82
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).