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AHT: 01

07 Dec 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.7%
Gateshead
27.1%
Draw
50.3%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Gateshead

vs
1.36

Walsall

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).