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13 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
Crystal Palace
30.8%
Draw
20.1%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Crystal Palace

vs
0.82

West Brom

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).