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HHT: 20CSV

08 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Bromley
26.4%
Draw
52.5%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Bromley

vs
1.65

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).