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DHT: 00CSV

06 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.0%
Morton
24.5%
Draw
64.5%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Morton

vs
1.87

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.8%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).