Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
West Ham
26.8%
Draw
46.5%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
West Ham
vs
1.71
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).