Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Crewe
23.8%
Draw
21.5%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Crewe
vs
0.90
Barrow
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).