Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.9%
Portimonense
12.4%
Draw
80.7%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Portimonense
vs
2.72
Benfica
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-3
11.3%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
1-1
5.9%
1-4
5.2%
0-5
4.2%
0-0
3.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).