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AHT: 01CSV

28 May 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Kaiserslautern
27.3%
Draw
25.8%
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.12

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).