Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Alanyaspor
30.0%
Draw
16.5%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Alanyaspor
vs
0.86
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).