Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Dresden
21.5%
Draw
13.8%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Dresden
vs
0.89
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).