Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Brest
23.1%
Draw
45.1%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Brest
vs
1.61
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).