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15 May 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.4%
Asteras Tripolis
28.1%
Draw
13.5%
Apollon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Asteras Tripolis

vs
0.59

Apollon

Markets

BTTS35.4%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.7%
2-0
13.9%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).