Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.6%
Mainz
22.3%
Draw
13.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Mainz
vs
0.76
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).