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27 Apr 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.5%
Górnik Zabrze
30.2%
Draw
26.3%
Widzew Lodz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Górnik Zabrze

vs
0.97

Widzew Lodz

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).