Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.0%
Manchester City
6.4%
Draw
2.6%
Gosport Borough
Expected Goals (xG)
3.57
Manchester City
vs
0.52
Gosport Borough
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.7%
4-0
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
5-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
4-1
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
5-1
4.2%
1-1
3.0%
3-2
1.7%
0-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).