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AHT: 00CSV

02 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Genclerbirligi
36.8%
Draw
27.3%
Konyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Genclerbirligi

vs
0.95

Konyaspor

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.8%
0-0
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).