Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Valladolid
24.5%
Draw
41.4%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Valladolid
vs
1.53
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).