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14 Feb 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.2%
Darmstadt
14.2%
Draw
6.7%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

2.78

Darmstadt

vs
0.74

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
4.1%
0-0
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
5-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).