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AHT: 01CSV

11 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.5%
Colchester
24.5%
Draw
50.0%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Colchester

vs
1.54

Stockport

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).