Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Krasnodar
21.2%
Draw
16.3%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Krasnodar
vs
1.11
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).