Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Oldham
31.2%
Draw
40.2%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Oldham
vs
1.02
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.527.8%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-0
15.5%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
0-3
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).