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DHT: 11CSV

23 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.3%
Metz
18.6%
Draw
16.2%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Metz

vs
0.90

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.3%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).