Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Lecce
26.8%
Draw
24.3%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Lecce
vs
0.90
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).