Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Newcastle
27.7%
Draw
20.8%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Newcastle
vs
0.98
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).