Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Mirandes
31.7%
Draw
43.7%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Mirandes
vs
1.09
Alaves
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).