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22 Aug 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.2%
Preußen Münster
29.7%
Draw
36.1%
Nurnberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Preußen Münster

vs
1.26

Nurnberg

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).