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27 Sept 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.4%
Fatih Karagümrük
21.3%
Draw
67.3%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Fatih Karagümrük

vs
2.43

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
2-3
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).