Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Clermont
23.6%
Draw
52.4%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Clermont
vs
1.60
Lorient
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).