Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Lyon
24.9%
Draw
42.0%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Lyon
vs
1.46
Lens
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).