Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Man United
26.8%
Draw
20.9%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Man United
vs
1.03
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).