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19 Sept 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Wisła Płock
31.6%
Draw
38.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Wisła Płock

vs
1.16

Jagiellonia Białystok

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).