Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Hartlepool
29.7%
Draw
42.0%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Hartlepool
vs
1.32
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).