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28 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Guiseley
26.9%
Draw
36.4%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Guiseley

vs
1.19

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).