Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.5%
Tromsø
17.9%
Draw
13.6%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Tromsø
vs
0.92
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).