Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.6%
Paris SG
16.5%
Draw
11.9%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Paris SG
vs
0.81
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).