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12 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.1%
Kidderminster
17.6%
Draw
71.3%
Guiseley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Kidderminster

vs
2.19

Guiseley

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.1%
0-1
12.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
6.9%
0-4
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).