Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Villarreal B
26.5%
Draw
36.4%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Villarreal B
vs
1.26
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).