Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Livingston
28.7%
Draw
28.5%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Livingston
vs
1.07
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).