Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Farense
33.9%
Draw
32.9%
Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Farense
vs
0.93
Nacional
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.4%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.7%
0-1
13.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.1%
0-3
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).