Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Luton
28.3%
Draw
33.9%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Luton
vs
1.28
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).