Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Wrexham
22.3%
Draw
28.6%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Wrexham
vs
1.32
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).