Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
QPR
27.2%
Draw
45.2%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
QPR
vs
1.55
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).