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DHT: 11CSV

10 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.7%
Trabzonspor
24.5%
Draw
26.8%
Buyuksehyr

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Trabzonspor

vs
1.63

Buyuksehyr

Markets

BTTS73.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.552.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-2
5.1%
0-0
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).