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24 Feb 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.1%
Bordeaux
22.1%
Draw
35.9%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Bordeaux

vs
1.48

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).