Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Nurnberg
29.6%
Draw
29.4%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Nurnberg
vs
1.10
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).