Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.0%
Lokomotiv Moskva
16.8%
Draw
4.2%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
0.37
Fakel
Markets
BTTS28.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.6%
1-0
16.2%
3-0
13.6%
0-0
8.5%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
3-1
5.0%
5-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
0-1
2.1%
2-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).